Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 157.231317 184.393540 216.887727 259.237906 313.911056 3.834734e+02 4.809935e+02
2025-02-23 122.555476 155.340656 199.286304 264.727470 363.984414 5.170885e+02 7.906391e+02
2025-03-02 105.343394 140.271126 190.699543 273.065249 413.916555 6.680085e+02 1.235071e+03
2025-03-09 92.514857 127.669313 181.293128 275.356129 452.739929 8.198554e+02 1.838956e+03
2025-03-16 81.030535 114.679721 168.072701 266.817025 467.668750 9.331211e+02 2.510634e+03
2025-03-23 75.140140 109.205761 165.582485 276.075199 521.118693 1.172608e+03 4.073330e+03
2025-03-30 67.140246 99.142873 153.472051 263.854535 522.632348 1.277994e+03 5.424175e+03
2025-04-06 62.695584 94.353329 149.772556 267.467217 563.528671 1.542798e+03 8.939353e+03
2025-04-13 58.285774 89.060543 144.288526 265.944081 590.914635 1.794380e+03 1.455658e+04
2025-04-20 56.504925 88.105809 146.743342 282.571578 677.843709 2.417671e+03 3.808171e+04
2025-04-27 55.670154 88.707232 152.270961 307.991792 808.716930 3.559660e+03 2.175386e+05
2025-05-04 52.389209 84.422993 147.236223 305.799080 844.746920 4.231818e+03 1.203940e+06
2025-05-11 49.490064 80.991875 144.404982 311.389332 926.766558 5.713672e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 46.902011 77.948507 142.120522 318.617004 1028.009353 8.159858e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 44.840554 75.675892 141.130989 329.397629 1160.101984 1.262282e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 42.525034 72.628173 137.874002 332.367017 1259.874473 1.864010e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 39.686348 68.233944 130.839019 321.312315 1272.200128 2.311194e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 38.340299 66.798670 130.689050 333.299533 1446.865470 4.373722e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 35.769055 62.557422 123.109012 317.485408 1417.391434 5.135756e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 34.386602 60.731924 121.335122 322.152802 1550.641657 9.950987e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 32.832466 58.404578 117.993136 320.184209 1633.815152 1.844061e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 32.343888 58.350236 120.514426 341.735571 1973.004626 1.575244e+06 NaN
2025-07-20 32.227642 59.104240 125.311805 374.936987 2545.587162 NaN NaN